This paper exploits the temporal and geographic variation in the adoption of tougher immigration enforcement to identify its impact on undocumented immigrants’ fertility. Using data from the 2004 through 2013 American Community Survey, we find that a one standard deviation increase in the intensity of immigration enforcement lowers the childbearing likelihood of likely undocumented women by 5 per cent. The effect, which results from police-based measures, might stem from increased uncertainty about the future of the family unit and its resources, including household income. Given immigrants’ critical contribution to the sustainability of the welfare state and President Trump’s tougher stand on immigration matters, further exploration of this impact is warranted and recommended.
Fertility, Immigration Enforcement, Undocumented Immigration, United States
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, Professor and Chair of the Department of Economics, San Diego State University; Email: camuedod@mail.sdsu.edu
Esther Arenas-Arroyo, Researcher, REMINDER, COMPAS; Email: esther.arenas-arroyo@compas.ox.ac.uk
Download WP-2018-134-Amuedo-Dorantes_Arenas-Arroyo_ Immigrant_Fertility (PDF)
If you do not have Adobe® Acrobat® Reader, which is required to read this document, you can download it free from the Adobe Website.
COMPAS, School of Anthropology, University of Oxford, 58 Banbury Road, Oxford, OX2 6QS
T. +44 (0)1865 274 711
E. info@compas.ox.ac.uk
Privacy | Terms & Conditions | Copyrights | Accessibility
©2023 University of Oxford
Managed by REDBOT